
The International Air Transport Association (IATA)
expects India’s aviation industry losses to exceed $1.5 billion in 2008, second
only to that of the US. It has also indicated that there are chances of some
carriers going down into bankruptcy and suggested that the government needs to
step in or else there is a risk of the current aviation boom going bust. IATA
has enumerated problems that are facing India to include the high cost
structure of the industry, declining volumes, and surplus capacity. Added to
this, traffic growth is down to 7.5% in the first six months of 2008 against
33% for 2007 and in fact, there has been a decline in traffic in the recent
months. The build up of large capacities in expectation of fast traffic growth
is now proving to be a huge burden on airlines. A typical lease charge for a
mid-sized aircraft is about Rs 1.5 crore a month and this is making airlines
bleed who have started to return leased aircraft. But analysts believe that
this sort of capacity reduction would only reduce the rate of cash burn since
the operating cost structure of the aviation industry continues to remain
unviable. IATA has declared that India is one of the most expensive places to
buy aviation fuel (ATF) which is nearly 60% more costly in Mumbai than it is in
Singapore. It has also highlighted the fact that infrastructure constraints are
also adding up to operating costs as aircraft spend too much time on the ground
waiting to take-off or are hovering in the skies a lot longer because of
congestion on the ground. These problems only get compounded by the route
dispersal policy that forces airlines to deploy a certain percentage of
capacity on unviable routes, it added.
JULY 23RD -27TH, 2009 AT INTERCONTINENTAL-THE LALIT GOA RESORT